Scientific Method in PracticeCambridge University Press, 2003 - 435 páginas Beginning with a discussion of today's "science wars" and science's presuppositions, the book then looks at deductive and inductive logic, probability, statistics, and parsimony and concludes with an examination of science's powers and limits and a look at science education. Topics relevant to a variety of disciplines are treated, and clarifying figures, case studies, and chapter summaries enhance the pedagogy." "This adeptly executed, comprehensive, yet pragmatic work yields a new synergy suitable for scientists and instructors as well as for graduate students and advanced undergraduates."--BOOK JACKET. |
Conteúdo
INTRODUCTION | 1 |
A Controversial Idea | 3 |
The AAAS Vision of Science | 5 |
Primary and Secondary Benefits | 7 |
Beyond the Basics | 10 |
A Timely Opportunity | 13 |
Personal Experience | 15 |
Summary | 19 |
INDUCTIVE LOGIC AND STATISTICS | 217 |
Induction and Deduction | 218 |
Historical Perspective on Induction | 219 |
Presupposition of Induction | 225 |
Bayesian Example | 226 |
Bayesian Inference | 232 |
Bayesian Decision | 240 |
The Frequentist Paradigm | 245 |
SCIENCE IN PERSPECTIVE | 21 |
Four Bold Claims | 27 |
A Brief History of Truth | 40 |
Summary | 72 |
SCIENCE WARS | 74 |
Four Deadly Woes | 78 |
Reactions from Scientists | 89 |
Two Rules of Engagement | 105 |
Summary | 110 |
SCIENCES PRESUPPOSITIONS | 112 |
Historical Perspective on Presuppositions | 113 |
The PEL Model of Full Disclosure | 124 |
What Are Presuppositions? | 131 |
Disclosure of Presuppositions | 134 |
Sensible Questions | 143 |
Sciences Credibility and Audience | 147 |
Sciences Realism and Faith | 150 |
A Reflective Overview | 153 |
Summary | 154 |
DEDUCTIVE LOGIC | 156 |
Deduction and Induction | 157 |
Historical Perspective on Deduction | 160 |
Elementary Propositional Logic | 165 |
Formal Propositional Logic | 171 |
Predicate Logic | 173 |
Arithmetic | 175 |
Common Fallacies | 178 |
Material Logic Summary | 187 |
Summary | 189 |
PROBABILITY | 191 |
Probability Concepts | 192 |
Two Fundamental Requirements | 197 |
Eight General Rules | 198 |
Probability Axioms and Rules | 199 |
Probability Theorems | 204 |
Bayes Theorem | 207 |
Permutations and Combinations | 210 |
Common Blunders | 211 |
Summary | 215 |
Paradigms and Questions | 257 |
Induction Lost | 264 |
Induction Regained | 266 |
Summary | 268 |
PARSIMONY AND EFFICIENCY | 269 |
Historical Perspective on Parsimony | 270 |
Preview of Basic Principles | 277 |
Mendels Peas | 288 |
Cubic Equation | 291 |
Equivalent | 296 |
Crop Yields | 303 |
Explanation of Accuracy Gain | 312 |
Efficiency and Economics | 316 |
Philosophical Perspective on Parsimony | 318 |
Summary | 325 |
CASE STUDIES | 327 |
Parsimony and Physics | 334 |
Molecule Shape and Drug Design | 345 |
Electronics Testing | 353 |
Statistics in Medicine | 355 |
Discussion | 365 |
SCIENCES POWERS AND LIMITS | 367 |
Obvious Limitations | 368 |
Science and Its Preconditions | 369 |
Science and Worldviews | 370 |
Personal Rewards from Science | 373 |
Summary | 376 |
SCIENCE EDUCATION | 377 |
Six Benefits | 378 |
The Good the Bad and the Ugly | 387 |
Constructivism in the Third World | 396 |
A Modest Experiment | 399 |
Future Pros | 401 |
Summary | 405 |
CONCLUSIONS | 406 |
References | 410 |
431 | |
Termos e frases comuns
AAAS Accordingly accuracy accurate AMMI analysis answer argument Aristotle Aristotle's Axiom Scheme basic Bayes's theorem Bayesian and frequentist beliefs blue draws certainty chapter claims coin common sense complex concept conclusion constructivism deductive empirical equally equation error rate evidence example experiment experimental explained false Figure frequentist paradigm Gauch geometry given H₁ Hence human Hume induction reasons inductive logic inference intellectual Kuhn mathematical McComas meaning noise null hypothesis objective observations Ockham's hill outcome p-value parsimonious models perspective philosophical philosophy of science physical world Popper postdiction posterior prediction premises principles of scientific prior probability axioms problem proposition propositional logic question realism reality check reasoning replications science education science wars science's presuppositions science's rationality scientific method scientists simple simplicity skepticism statistical efficiency stopping rule theorem theory tion true truth Type I error understanding University Press valid values whereas worldview yield