Antifragile: Things That Gain from DisorderRandom House Publishing Group, 27 de nov. de 2012 - 544 páginas Antifragile is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear. Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world. Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it. Praise for Antifragile “Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.”—The Economist “A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.”—Newsweek |
De dentro do livro
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Página xiv
... Negative Model Error How to Lose a Grandmother Now the Philosopher's Stone How to Transform Gold into Mud : The Inverse Philosopher's Stone 261 261 263 263 267 268 270 271 273 274 275 276 277 278 278 278 280 283 283 283 286 286 287 288 ...
... Negative Model Error How to Lose a Grandmother Now the Philosopher's Stone How to Transform Gold into Mud : The Inverse Philosopher's Stone 261 261 263 263 267 268 270 271 273 274 275 276 277 278 278 278 280 283 283 283 286 286 287 288 ...
Página 12
... negative and positive exposures , respectively . It is critical that I never believed in our ability to forecast volatility , as I just focused on how things react to it . something is harmed by volatility — hence fragile - than 12 ...
... negative and positive exposures , respectively . It is critical that I never believed in our ability to forecast volatility , as I just focused on how things react to it . something is harmed by volatility — hence fragile - than 12 ...
Página 23
... negative Black Swans New York : Banking system Efficiency , optimized Hates mistakes Irreversible , large ( but rare ) errors , blowups Directed research Studying events , measuring their risks , statistical properties of events Theory ...
... negative Black Swans New York : Banking system Efficiency , optimized Hates mistakes Irreversible , large ( but rare ) errors , blowups Directed research Studying events , measuring their risks , statistical properties of events Theory ...
Página 24
... negative skewed ) Option Trading Concentrated sources of randomness Nonlinearconcave , or concave - convex Short volatility , gamma , vega Explicit True - False Tourist , personal and intellectual Corporate employment , Tantalized class ...
... negative skewed ) Option Trading Concentrated sources of randomness Nonlinearconcave , or concave - convex Short volatility , gamma , vega Explicit True - False Tourist , personal and intellectual Corporate employment , Tantalized class ...
Página 26
... Negative science Book Small business Equity Private debt with no bailout Small but specialized Kelly criterion Hedge funds ( some ) Street life ANTIFRAGILE Holistic Long option Art Acute stressors , with recovery Acts of omission ...
... Negative science Book Small business Equity Private debt with no bailout Small but specialized Kelly criterion Hedge funds ( some ) Street life ANTIFRAGILE Holistic Long option Art Acute stressors , with recovery Acts of omission ...
Conteúdo
3 | |
20 | |
29 | |
Overcompensation and Overreaction Everywhere | 41 |
The Cat and the Washing Machine | 54 |
What Kills Me Makes Others Stronger | 65 |
MODERNITY AND THE DENIAL OF ANTIFRAGILITY | 81 |
Tell Them I Love Some Randomness | 100 |
VIA NEGATIVA | 301 |
Time and Fragility | 309 |
Medicine Convexity and Opacity | 336 |
To Live Long but Not Too Long | 357 |
THE ETHICS OF FRAGILITY AND ANTIFRAGILITY | 373 |
29 | 393 |
Fitting Ethics to a Profession | 407 |
Conclusion | 421 |
Naive Intervention | 110 |
Prediction as a Child of Modernity | 134 |
A NONPREDICTIVE VIEW OF THE WORLD | 141 |
Senecas Upside and Downside | 151 |
Never Marry the Rock Star | 159 |
OPTIONALITY TECHNOLOGY AND | 169 |
Lecturing Birds on How to Fly | 187 |
When Two Things Are Not the Same Thing | 202 |
History Written by the Losers | 217 |
A Lesson in Disorder | 241 |
Fat Tony Debates Socrates | 249 |
THE NONLINEAR AND THE NONLINEAR | 263 |
The Philosophers Stone and Its Inverse | 290 |
Glossary | 427 |
Appendix I | 435 |
འབལ ིའ ིབབགངཋ | 442 |
Appendix II | 447 |
38 | 454 |
Additional Notes Afterthoughts and Further Reading | 457 |
Bibliography | 481 |
43 | 484 |
44 | 497 |
Acknowledgments | 505 |
49 | 507 |
106 | 519 |
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Termos e frases comuns
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