Antifragile: Things That Gain from DisorderRandom House Publishing Group, 27 de nov. de 2012 - 544 páginas Antifragile is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear. Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world. Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it. Praise for Antifragile “Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.”—The Economist “A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.”—Newsweek |
De dentro do livro
Resultados 1-5 de 79
Página xi
... Cause Confusion Chapter 8. Prediction as a Child of Modernity Ms. Bré Has Competitors The Predictive Plus or Minus Bad Teeth The Idea of Becoming a Non - Turkey No More Black Swans BOOK III : A NONPREDICTIVE VIEW OF THE WORLD Chapter 9 ...
... Cause Confusion Chapter 8. Prediction as a Child of Modernity Ms. Bré Has Competitors The Predictive Plus or Minus Bad Teeth The Idea of Becoming a Non - Turkey No More Black Swans BOOK III : A NONPREDICTIVE VIEW OF THE WORLD Chapter 9 ...
Página xii
... Ornithology Epiphenomena 156 156 157 159 159 161 162 163 165 169 169 170 171 173 175 175 176 177 178 178 180 180 181 183 184 185 185 187 190 190 192 193 194 197 Greed as a Cause Debunking Epiphenomena Cherry - picking ( xii CONTENTS.
... Ornithology Epiphenomena 156 156 157 159 159 161 162 163 165 169 169 170 171 173 175 175 176 177 178 178 180 180 181 183 184 185 185 187 190 190 192 193 194 197 Greed as a Cause Debunking Epiphenomena Cherry - picking ( xii CONTENTS.
Página xiii
Things That Gain from Disorder Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Greed as a Cause Debunking Epiphenomena Cherry - picking ( or the Fallacy of Confirmation ) Chapter 14. When Two Things Are Not the " Same Thing " Where Are the Stressors ? L'Art pour ...
Things That Gain from Disorder Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Greed as a Cause Debunking Epiphenomena Cherry - picking ( or the Fallacy of Confirmation ) Chapter 14. When Two Things Are Not the " Same Thing " Where Are the Stressors ? L'Art pour ...
Página 4
... of calculating the risks of consequential rare events and predicting their occurrence . Sensitivity to harm from volatility is tractable , more so than forecasting the event that would cause the harm . So we propose to stand 4 PROLOGUE.
... of calculating the risks of consequential rare events and predicting their occurrence . Sensitivity to harm from volatility is tractable , more so than forecasting the event that would cause the harm . So we propose to stand 4 PROLOGUE.
Página 5
Things That Gain from Disorder Nassim Nicholas Taleb. would cause the harm . So we propose to stand our current approaches to prediction , prognostication , and risk management on their heads . In every domain or area of application , we ...
Things That Gain from Disorder Nassim Nicholas Taleb. would cause the harm . So we propose to stand our current approaches to prediction , prognostication , and risk management on their heads . In every domain or area of application , we ...
Conteúdo
3 | |
20 | |
29 | |
Overcompensation and Overreaction Everywhere | 41 |
The Cat and the Washing Machine | 54 |
What Kills Me Makes Others Stronger | 65 |
MODERNITY AND THE DENIAL OF ANTIFRAGILITY | 81 |
Tell Them I Love Some Randomness | 100 |
VIA NEGATIVA | 301 |
Time and Fragility | 309 |
Medicine Convexity and Opacity | 336 |
To Live Long but Not Too Long | 357 |
THE ETHICS OF FRAGILITY AND ANTIFRAGILITY | 373 |
29 | 393 |
Fitting Ethics to a Profession | 407 |
Conclusion | 421 |
Naive Intervention | 110 |
Prediction as a Child of Modernity | 134 |
A NONPREDICTIVE VIEW OF THE WORLD | 141 |
Senecas Upside and Downside | 151 |
Never Marry the Rock Star | 159 |
OPTIONALITY TECHNOLOGY AND | 169 |
Lecturing Birds on How to Fly | 187 |
When Two Things Are Not the Same Thing | 202 |
History Written by the Losers | 217 |
A Lesson in Disorder | 241 |
Fat Tony Debates Socrates | 249 |
THE NONLINEAR AND THE NONLINEAR | 263 |
The Philosophers Stone and Its Inverse | 290 |
Glossary | 427 |
Appendix I | 435 |
འབལ ིའ ིབབགངཋ | 442 |
Appendix II | 447 |
38 | 454 |
Additional Notes Afterthoughts and Further Reading | 457 |
Bibliography | 481 |
43 | 484 |
44 | 497 |
Acknowledgments | 505 |
49 | 507 |
106 | 519 |
Outras edições - Ver todos
Termos e frases comuns
antifragility applies argument asymmetry become believe benefits better Black Swan brings called cause central Chapter comes completely concave consider convexity costs course decision discussion doctor domain economic effect error evidence expectancy fact Fat Tony FIGURE fragility function Further future gains harm heuristic humans iatrogenics idea increase interest knowledge lead less live look matters means medicine method mistake natural never nonlinear Note option organism particularly percent person philosopher political positive practice predict present Press probability problem produce randomness response result risk robust rule side simple social someone statistical story talk tend thanks theory things tion trying turned understand United University volatility wealth writing York